Andreas Seppi vs Pablo Cuevas
Thursday 24th July (7.ooam start)
Once again we turn our attentions to Croatia where the Umag event is well underway as we enter the round of last 16 stage. Our advised outright bet on Marin Cilic got off to a comfortable start with a straight sets win which leads to a match against the Czech Rosol, and with Cilic holding a solid 3-0 head to head record and never losing a set I fancy Cilic to carry on his good form.
I feel the bet of the round 16 stage comes in the form of Italian Andreas Seppi to get the better of Pablo Cuevas. Umag has always been a happy hunting ground for Seppi with a quarter final and three semi final appearances in his four tournaments in Croatia. Seppi played some good tennis last week – taking a set off world number six David Ferrer and he seems to have carried that form over to Umag where he had a comfortable victory in his first match.
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Cuevas comes into this match in great form, however I feel the amount of tennis he’s played in the recent weeks will eventually catch up with him here against a player who is well equipped for long battles.
Cuevas has had some serious injuries to deal with and had to miss the majority of the 2013 season due to this. He has returned playing some great tennis in 2014 but this will be his 43rd game of the season and questions over his stamina must be answered for someone who isn’t used to playing so much tennis.
Cuevas had to qualify for this event so this will be his fifth match in just four days, and with a long three set battle in his last match against an opponent who he should have beat comfortably, I think the fatigue is finally starting to show in his game.
Their only other encounter came in 2010 so it’s hard to think that will really play a part in the mental aspect of the players minds, however it was won by Seppi in a comfortable straight sets victory.
With conditions clearly favouring Seppi here judging by his success at this event in recent years, and the fatigue questions that have to be raised about Cuevas and all of his matches he has played recently I certainly don’t think Seppi should be the underdog here and looks a great bet for punters to get a good run for their money.
Advised bet – Seppi win 11/10 Bet365