It’s the start of week two of Wimbledon and today we kick off with some tips from The Tennis Researchers.
Mikhail Youzhny v Andy Murray – 2.30pm
This first bet we’ve been looking forward to since Saturday when it was known they would play each other. As expected bookies are underestimating Youzhny here because of the Murray factor and everyone seems to think he’s already in the final. Despite Murray being 1/20 to win I wouldn’t be surprised to see Youzhny upset him, but I’m more than happy with a 7.5 handicap. A 6-4 6-4 6-3 Murray win would mean this bet would be a winner.
There’s no point going on about Murray as we all know he’s a quality player and been playing some good tennis this week. However Youzhny is also a quality player on the grass, he played some fantastic tennis in Germany a week before Wimbledon, had 3 quality wins over Nishikori, Kohlschrieber and Gasquet before losing to Federer in the final where even then he took a set off him. He’s played good tennis this week to add to that we’re more than confident our 2 main bets will come in on this and are also having a small punt on him doing the upset.
Mikhail Youzhny +7.5 games @4/5 v Andy Murray – William Hill
Mikhail Youzhny to win a set @ 5/8 – William Hill
Mikhail Youzhny to win @11/1 – William Hill
Kaia Kanepi v Laura Robson – 1pm
The price of this bet is quite a generous one on the talented Estonian and one we’re more than happy to take. We feel the generous price comes from the fact its Wimbledon and no doubt the crowd will be behind Robson, however Kanepi has played in these atmospheres before and shouldn’t be too affected.
Robson had a good start to Wimbledon beating Kirilenko but she’s very lucky to still be in the competition after her last round where Erakovic was serving for the match before choking. Kanepi has been to the quarter finals here before so it’s a surface she’s more than comfortable with, she defeated one of the favourites, Kerber in the early rounds and as long as she turns up here and plays her game she should have too much for the Brit.
Kaia Kanepi @4/5 v Laura Robson – Stan James
Kirsten Flipkens v Flavia Pennetta – 11am
Most bookies have opened the line here at a 4 game handicap so the 3 game handicap looks like a bit of value. Flipkens is playing the tennis of her life at the moment and finds herself in the top 20 for the first time and has had a terrific grass season. She reached the final in Holland a few weeks ago and now finds herself in the 4th round at Wimbledon.
Pennetta has really struggled with tennis lately, she’s had a long time off and unsurprisingly hasn’t returned the same player. She’s down to 166th in the world and although she’s in the 4th round, one of the wins was a walkover and the other two were against Baltacha and Cornet so I wouldn’t read too much into that. They met at the French Open this year which is a surface that would suit Pannetta, however Flipkens not only won but even gave her a bagel last set. Now that they’re playing on a surface that suits Flipkens you would expect her to take this one easily.
Kirsten Flipkens -3.5 games @8/11 v Flavia Pennetta – Bet365