Our outright bet over in Hamburg of Alexandr Dolgopolov got off to a solid start today with a comfortable straight sets win and I’m hoping over in Bogota, Pospisil our advised bet will get his campaign off to a flyer later on tonight. However, today we focus on the match betting and our 2 bets come in Bogota where the weather looks set for a good day after yesterday was full of rain.
In the first match of the day Victor Estrella Burgos looks a solid bet to get the better of Juan Ignacio Londero where the altitude and fast conditions will be to the advantage of Estrella Burgos.
Londero finds himself down at 193rd in the world and has had much of his success on the clay courts and not the hard courts. Londero loves clay courts that much that its the only surface he really plays on, out of his 280 career matches, 250 of them have been on the clay with only 29 of them coming on the hard. Adding to this, his hard court record isn’t anything that will be a concern to Estrella with the Argentinian holding a 15 wins 14 loss record.
It’s a totally different case with Estrella who will be relishing playing on the hard courts with him playing over 250 matches on the surface, holding a very respectable 179 wins to 92 losses record. Although these matches have been played on the challenger tour and not the main tour, that isn’t a concern as his opponent today is a challenger player and not anyone to be scared of. With Estrella finding himself over 100 places higher in the rankings and favouring the conditions a lot more than his opponent, I think there’s a lot of value to be had here.
The second bet of the day comes later on and sees local Colombian boy Alejandro Gonzalez looking to give the home fans something to cheer about. A lot of people will remember Gonzalez from just a couple of months ago when he came close to beating world number 1 Novak Djokovic – even taking a set off the Serbian. That has always been the case with Gonzalez, when his motivation is high he’s a nightmare for anyone with his big serve and attacking shots, which should be perfectly suited for conditions here.
His opponent Thiemo De Bakker doesn’t really have any weapons to cause the home player trouble here. De Bakker once ranked 40th in the world currently finds himself 147th and only looking likely to go down further. He’s had all his success on the clay courts so not much is expected of him on the hard courts. With conditions favouring Gonzalez who will be motivated playing in front of his home fans I can only see a comfortable win for the Colombian.