One thing I pride myself on is the ability to spot pricing mistakes by the bookies. There are many tools out there now that are supposed to offer this service, but by and large my best hits have been mistakes that I’ve spotted with my own eyes.
Firstly it does take a bit of time, so you have to be patient, and obviously enjoy what you are doing. One of the first things I do when I turn the laptop on in the morning is check the odds comparison markets for errors.
Most pricing errors come from the less popular markets. Match odds, over 2.5 goals and other hugely popular markets are always pretty uniform, but when you start delving into the likes of first half goals, alternative handicaps, to win both halves, to score in both halves and other niche markets… There is stunning value to be had.
Take today for instance. Dudelange v Tre Penne. This was a Champions League preliminary qualifier between teams from Luxembourg and San Marino, but that’s irrelevant.
The home side were as short as 1/14 with BetVictor for the win, and a general 1/10 was available in most places.. But the stand out odds for me was the 11/10 on offer from Paddy Power that Dudelange would win both halves of the match. The very same bet was 8/15 with BetVictor.
Now I didn’t have to study the form too much to realise that the Paddy odds compilers had made a bit of a boo boo, but while researching the fixture I found that Tre Penne were fielding a defender of 47 years of age, an midfielder of 39, and a youthful striker of just 37.
As I’m writing this, Dudelange are 7-0 up in injury time, after being 2-0 up at the break. Bingo.
£330 up without a moment of doubt. These are the ones I love!