My depression is now turning into a problem to be honest. Most teams have just 3 or 4 games remaining and after that’s all over I have no idea what my job will consist of here at TVBet.
I might be forced to write articles on the Phillipine UFL or something like that! I hope you can spare a thought for me while getting involved in this lovely Lower League treble for Saturday. I’m hoping to build on a 13/2 winning treble last weekend.
Shrewsbury vs Bournemouth
How can you resist a bet on the irresistible Bournemouth? 6 consecutive wins in the league have propelled them towards promotion and they now sit 2nd in the league and are only 2 points behind league leaders Doncaster Rovers. A win here today will take Eddie Howe’s men 1 step closer to a place in The Championship and in my opinion, that’s what they deserve after a simply stunning season.
To get that victory today they’ll need to get past Shrewsbury, the last of the relegation threatened teams. Mathematically, being 7 points clear of the drop zone with 4 games remaining means that they could be dragged in, although it does seem unlikely.
Their last 3 fixtures are all against teams that are below them and it seems sensible to me that gaffer Graham Turner will have all but written off picking up any points against high flying Bournemouth day. It could even be an option to rest some players for this game and concentrate on the 3 big games that they have coming up, though I’m not saying this will happen.
The Shrews have been out of sorts in the league recently. In their last 5 home games they’ve lost 3 and won 2 but neither of these victories were anything to shout about really. A 3-0 win against Crawley in their last home game may have given a remote flutter of excitement but that’s about it.
Bournemouth have a sneaky habit of going on a long winning streak before crashing and burning but this time could be entirely different. This time, the wins mean something and that’s promotion. Having seen off Shrewsbury 2-1 in the reverse fixture, I fully expect them to do the number over them again today at a relatively tasty price.
Bournemouth to win @ 10/11 (Bet365)
Northampton vs York
How Northampton are priced at 10/11 for a victory here I will never know. They are formidable at home and though they come into this game on the back of two promotion jeopardising defeats, both of those losses came on the road.
They’ve won 10 straight games at Sixfields and in the process have conceded only 3 goals, a record which has seen them move 4th in the league. 2 of their last 4 fixtures (including this one) are at home and they will be looking to capitalise here to make that push for League One.
York travel to Northampton today having won 1 of their last 15 league games, form which see’s them sitting 2nd from bottom of League Two and faced with the immediate threat of relegation to the Conference. Their only win came at home against fellow strugglers Plymouth Argyle. York are the league’s draw specialists at times and in their terrible run of 11 away games without a win, 6 have been draws. But Northampton simply do not settle for 1 point, especially on home soil.
The previous meeting between the two finished 1-1 at York last year but I can see Northampton going 1 better today. This is my best bet of the weekend’s lower league action
Northampton to win @ 10/11 (Bet365)
Cheltenham vs Gillingham
A very tough game to call here but it’s very rare that you would see Gillingham as non-favourites in a match, especially away from home. The Gills have already been given their promotion ticket to League One for next season but they still have the task of securing the Championship. It may look a formality but they will want to do this in style and an away game is exactly what they need.
On the road this season, Gillingham have been simply sublime. In 21 away games they have been beaten only once, and having only lost 7 of their 43 league games this season, it’s easy to see why they are top of the league and heading to League One next season. Their last loss away from home was back in October but there’s something important to consider here and that’s Gillingham’s knack for getting a draw on the road. Their last 5 consecutive away games have finished all square and of their 21 away games this season, 9 have been a draw.
Cheltenham’s form has been somewhat indifferent recently. A loss against struggling Plymouth in their last outing has done nothing for their own promotion campaign which seems to be faltering at the final hurdle. They sit 5th in the league with only 3 games left to play and with an away game at Exeter before they welcome Bradford on the final day of the season, the playoffs seems a more likely outcome.
Cheltenham are the home form side of League Two having lost only 2 games at The Abbey Business Stadium this season, both of which were very early in the season. They are undefeated in 15 games here and are a force to be reckoned with at home, something which is going to be their foundation for their promotion push. Cheltenham will take a point from this game there is no doubt about that.
So the best away team in the league travel to the best home team in the league. Both are on incredible unbeaten runs at home and away respectively. There’s surely only one outcome here…
Draw @ 23/10 (Bet365)
The treble pays a staggering 11.02/1 with Bet365