We decided this week, that if we could get the prices on three games we fancied on Saturday we would apply our magic mark formula. This is a basic application on price with three outcomes, usually 4/5 or better and permed into doubles, so three bets. Two correct guarantees a small profit and all three lands a tidy profit! This week’s treble lands a combined 8.40 with Coral, so punting on three doubles only will be the plan. Add the treble and you have a Trixie (four bets) to give you mileage on your Saturday betting.
Oldham Vs Swindon
Both sides come into this in good form with Oldham unbeaten in the last seven, and visitors Swindon looking to make it five wins in a row and six unbeaten.
The Latics are currently third from bottom in League one, so their Boundary Park fans will look to spur their side on to pull them out of the relegation zone. Luke Williams Swindon had been in a precarious position a couple of months ago, but have brought themselves within four points off the play offs.
With both sides in good form, goals have not been an issue for either teams. John Sheridan’s Oldham has conceded in all of the last fifteen at Boundary Park and have been popular with the both teams to score backers in recent times.
Two of the last four of both sides at home and away respectively has seen the goal line head over 2.5 goals. With the sides in a good rhythm, if Oldham net first, you know William’s Swindon will be strong at fighting back, so the hosts will duly need to consider netting a brace. On recent results, the hosts have been holding on to net a point, but this will not be enough to keep out of relegation as Swindon’s propelled boost up the league has resulted in them finding the winner, especially in all of the last three.
I do expect this game to see an early goal which will direct this game and looking at the prices versus the stats, the evens on offer for three or more goals is fair considering the time of the season, and on the basis of which side has the greater need.
The last three meetings has seen all pass three goals including the reverse fixture and with Swindon’s hotshot Ajose looking to bag his twentieth of his campaign after five goals in the last four will be a formidable challenge of the Oldham defence.
Crewe Vs Burton
Table-toppers Burton visit Gresty Road where Steve Davis’s Crewe look to avert defeat, but with the title hopefuls in form, will be a formidable task.
The sides come into this with great needs as Crewe sit eight points from safety and the Brewers sit firmly at the top of the league four points clear of closest rivals Wigan Athletic. Looking at the form, the home sides form is better than Nigel Clough’s Burton having lost just two of the last eight with the leaders losing three of these eight. Davis’s Crewe has won just one in the last eight, having drawn five but has picked up the goal tally having netted in all of the last seven.
The visitors should not fret on scoring as the railwaymen have led themselves into second from bottom by virtue of conceding goals, including three quarters of their Gresty road games this term. Cloughs Burton are no shortage of goals either having netted in all of the last seven on their travels.
On a personal betting perspective, one may look at this relying on Crewe to net, ore Burton having to net all three for this bet to win. Crewe has demonstrated that they often strike before the break, and in front of the home crowd, all of the last four at home have seen Davis’s men net. Whereas Burton have leaked in two of the last four, which does not make the win to nil for the visitors the best bet ever seen at 11/8.
Crewe have applied themselves in the last half dozen games and with Burton the red hot favourites to win this, the pressure will be on Clough’s men, and may have work to do to take the three points.
Dagenham Vs York
The worst home side in League two squares off against the statistically weakest away side in York in a battle of the basement at the foot of the football league.
Both sides are running out of games with the daggers seven points off safety with Jackie McNamara’s York just two points from safety. If you could ever quote a six pointer at this stage of the season this is it. Both sides has resulted in conceding far greater than they score, although both are capable of finding the net.
Form wise, the hosts are winless in the last eight games including their last six at home and without a win in the last sixteen at Victoria Road. John Still’s Dagenham have conceded at least one goal in all but one of their home games. On a positive for the hosts, their visitor York have lost their last four games, are without a win in the last fourteen on the road and have conceded in the same number.
The way this game will play out is for goals as both sides need the win, with end to end action. The reverse fixture ended a tie with a four goal thriller and I expect much the same. With York’s inability to restrict goals in their end, the home side bias will have the home fans behind them and if either are to escape from relegation. John Still stated in their last performance that his Dagenham side had played one of their better games. They will rely on Christian Doidge and perhaps the very experienced Jamie Cureton for goals and are certainly capable and need to apply themselves.
Although both sides have experienced difficulties all season, this is a game where both can open up, with over two-thirds of York’s games with three or more goals this can allow the game to flow more freely as the three points are badly needed by both.