After last weekend’s lower league treble duly obliged with the minimum of fuss, Matt Litherland is back again to give us his lower league pearls of wisdom.
By Matt Litherland. After last week’s lower league treble romped home, we return from the international break with a wealth of matches available and this week and I’m looking to continue that success with 3 bets that I feel are great value:
AFC Bournemouth vs Tranmere Rovers
I find it unbelievable that Tranmere are labelled as the underdogs for this game by the bookies. They made hard work of it last week against Yeovil at home but the late comeback means they have now won 3 successive games and are undefeated in 13 league games.
They’ve won their last 3 away games by an aggregate of 9-3 and the fact that these wins were against Crawley, Scunthorpe and Notts County makes this record all the more impressive as none of these are easy places to travel to.
Bournemouth on the other hand sit 4th from bottom in the league. A big win against Leyton Orient at home last week was only their 2nd of the season so far. But Bournemouth haven’t won 2 consecutive games in the league since January and I fancy that trend to continue today against high flying Tranmere.
BET: Tranmere (Draw No Bet) – 6/5
Yeovil vs Bury
Yeovil were very unlucky last week against Tranmere as a red card cost them a deserved point as they went ahead with 2 early goals against the league leaders away from home. Bury were also unlucky and were denied a point away at Crawley by an injury time goal, and they picked up a point at home to Carlisle in the week.
On paper this seems to be a close game, but Bury’s away form is what seals it for me. They’ve won 1 game away from home this year, losing 10 and drawing the other 4. They sit bottom of the league with 5 points from 12 games and I don’t think that’s going to improve this weekend.
Yeovil seem to be showing promise at the minute with a 3-1 win over Colchester followed up by a great performance against Tranmere in which they were very unlucky.
BET: Yeovil win – 6/5
York vs Dagenham
A mid-table clash between two struggling teams can be difficult to call sometimes but I believe there is value here.
York started the season quite well winning 2 of their first 4 games in a higher division but since then it’s all gone wrong. Their only win in their last 8 games came against struggling Aldershot. At home they haven’t really been convincing this season winning 1 game, drawing 3 and losing 2.
Dagenham sit 1 point below York in League 2 and won their last away game at Chesterfield who were relegated from League 1 last season. Away from home so far they have won 1 game, drew 3 and lost 2, exactly the same record as York.
The two sides haven’t met since 2007 so it’s difficult to draw anything from that but with 2 teams meeting who are close in the table and have identical home vs away records this season, I’ve decided to take a risk on the draw.
BET: Draw at 5/2
Also worth a cover with Doubles (2 from 3) just in case 1 goes wrong.