As well as Jack posting his tips for today’s Europa League 2nd qualifying round 2nd leg games, I thought I’d add my two pennies worth, as I think there is a nice bit of value to be had. These early Europa League games are pretty dodgy for bookmakers to price up, and there is one game that sticks out at me like a sore thumb, so I’m sharing it with you guys as I have already managed to get my bet on….
Asteras Tripolis v Inter Baku 6.00pm
This is a game that really stuck out at me. Greek side Asteras Tripolis only qualified for this competition due to AEK Athens being banned from European competition, but they have a superb chance of beating their Azerbaijani opponents this afternoon and progressing to the next stage.
They drew 1-1 in the first leg but will consider themselves unlucky. Inter Baku managed just two shots on target compared to the 9 of Asteras, and Baku were on the back foot for much of the game.
UEFA coefficients have Greek football a huge 30 points ahead of their Azerbaijani opponents, and I think this match is going to be very one sided in favour of the home team. The 4/6 available with Bet365 looks an absolute steal, and I’m hoping Asteras Tripolis can make a mockery of those odds.
Asteras are very solid at home domestically; they tend to only be defeated by the better teams in the league. The same cannot be said of Baku, who have a distinctly average away record in Azerbaijan, losing 6 of their last 7 road games in all competitions.
A huge deal is being made of Asteras Tripoli’s first foray in European competition and there is sure to be a vocal home support at the Gipedo Astera Tripolis stadium. While Baku must be commended for their efforts in the last round against Estonia club Trans Narva, this should be one step too far for them.
Back Asteras Tripolis to win – 4/6 Bet365
Another game I like the look of:
Aktobe Lento v Milsami 5.00pm
Aktobe Lento of Kazakhstan take on Milsami of Moldova in this low profile Europa League clash, and it’s the home team I like the look of. Their 4-2 loss in the first leg last week leaves them with a healthy chance of pulling back the two goal deficit, and I’m taking them to finish the job in style.
There’s not much between Kazakhstan and Moldova by way of UEFA rankings, but it’s the home side that have experience at this level; this is Aktobe’s 4th consecutive Europa League qualifying campaign.
Milsami qualified for this competition by way of winning their domestic cup, but this will be just their 4th game in European competition; their exploits last season led to a 5-1 aggregate defeat to Dinamo Tblisi.
Aktobe boast a home record of just 1 loss in their last 15 in all competitions, and are currently on a winning streak of 6, scoring 13 and conceding just 2.
Odds on the home win are restrictive at around 1/4, but I’m taking Aktobe to go about their job from the first whistle and be winning at half time and full time which is much easier to back at 4/6 with BetVictor.
Back Aktobe to be winning at HT/FT – 4/6 BetVictor